All Outputs (2)

The importance of recent scores in a forecasting model for professional golf tournaments (2005)
Journal Article
McHale, I., & Forrest, D. (2005). The importance of recent scores in a forecasting model for professional golf tournaments. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 16(2), 131-140. https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpi005

In many fields of forecasting, practitioners face the problem of how to distinguish signal from noise in recent news. As an illustration of how one might approach the problem we examine, in the context of golf, the extent to which recent players' sco... Read More about The importance of recent scores in a forecasting model for professional golf tournaments.

Odd-setters as forecasters: the case of English football (2005)
Journal Article
Forrest, D., Goddard, J., & Simmons, R. (2005). Odd-setters as forecasters: the case of English football. International Journal of Forecasting, 21(3), 551-564. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2005.03.003

Sets of odds issued by bookmakers may be interpreted as incorporating implicit probabilistic forecasts of sporting events. Employing a sample of nearly 10 000 English football (soccer) games, we compare the effectiveness of forecasts based on publish... Read More about Odd-setters as forecasters: the case of English football.