All Outputs (4)

Forecasting national team medal totals at the summer olympic games (2010)
Journal Article
Forrest, D., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. (2010). Forecasting national team medal totals at the summer olympic games. International Journal of Forecasting, 26(3), 576-588. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.12.007

The paper reports the results of an exercise to forecast national team medal totals at the Beijing Olympic Games, 2008.
Forecasts were released to the media before the competitions commenced. The starting point was an established statistical
model... Read More about Forecasting national team medal totals at the summer olympic games.

The relationship between betting and lottery play (2010)
Journal Article
Forrest, D., Gulley, O., & Simmons, R. (2010). The relationship between betting and lottery play. Economic Inquiry, 48(1), 26-38. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00123.x

We apply a novel daily time series data set of daily turnover from one of Britain’s
leading bookmakers to analyze potential substitution between lottery play and
bookmaker betting. We find some evidence that bettors do substitute away from horse
r... Read More about The relationship between betting and lottery play.

The 12th man?: refereeing bias in English and German soccer (2010)
Journal Article
German soccer. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 173(2), 431-449. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00604.x

The paper investigates potential bias in awards of player disciplinary sanctions, in
the form of cautions (yellow cards) and dismissals (red cards) by referees in the English Premier
League and the German Bundesliga. Previous studies of behaviour o... Read More about The 12th man?: refereeing bias in English and German soccer.

Evaluating the effects of game design on lotto sales: a case study from Spain (2010)
Journal Article
Forrest, D., Perez, L., & Baker, R. (2010). Evaluating the effects of game design on lotto sales: a case study from Spain. ˜The œjournal of gambling business and economics (Print), 4(2), 1-19

In February, 2005 the Spanish National Lottery Agency (LAE) made several modifications to the design of one of its lotto games. The entry fee was not changed but the familiar 6/49 format was replaced by 5/54 + 1/10. This considerably lengthened the o... Read More about Evaluating the effects of game design on lotto sales: a case study from Spain.