Extreme Temperature Events in Kazakhstan and Their Impacts on Public Health and Energy Demand

Broomandi, Parya; Satyanaga, Alfrendo; Bagheri, Mehdi; Hadei, Mostafa; Galán‐Madruga, David; Fard, Ali Mozhdehi; Roshani, Adib; Fathian, Aram; Nourian, Amir; Leuchner, Michael; Reicherter, Klaus; Hamidi, Mehdi; Kumar, Prashant; Kim, Jong Ryeol

doi:10.1002/gch2.202400207

Extreme Temperature Events in Kazakhstan and Their Impacts on Public Health and Energy Demand

Broomandi, Parya; Satyanaga, Alfrendo; Bagheri, Mehdi; Hadei, Mostafa; Galán‐Madruga, David; Fard, Ali Mozhdehi; Roshani, Adib; Fathian, Aram; Nourian, Amir; Leuchner, Michael; Reicherter, Klaus; Hamidi, Mehdi; Kumar, Prashant; Kim, Jong Ryeol

Authors

Parya Broomandi

Alfrendo Satyanaga

Mehdi Bagheri

Mostafa Hadei

David Galán‐Madruga

Ali Mozhdehi Fard

Adib Roshani

Aram Fathian

Dr Amir Nourian A.Nourian@salford.ac.uk
Associate Professor in Mechanical Eng.

Michael Leuchner

Klaus Reicherter

Mehdi Hamidi

Prashant Kumar

Jong Ryeol Kim

Abstract

Extreme temperature events such as heatwaves are becoming increasingly severe and frequent because of climate change, posing significant challenges to public health and energy infrastructure. This study explores the impacts of extreme temperature events leading to heat‐/cold waves on public health and energy consumption in Kazakhstan from 1959 to 2021. The most striking trends in heatwave‐related indices emerge in the western and southwestern regions. Conversely, despite heightened coldwave intensity, a decline is noted in their frequency and number. The impact of heatwaves on various health conditions, notably consistent and statistically significant rises in all‐cause and cardiovascular mortalities, is observed. Shifts in energy demand are also unveiled with a noticeable spike in cooling‐degree days and a reduction in heating‐degree days. The mean total energy consumption stood at 552 kWh across the country with an average annual energy generation of ≈8.76 kWh. To gauge the environmental implications, the mean CO2 emissions are estimated at 464 kg per kWh for both heating and cooling purposes. With climate change set to escalate heatwaves, the need for comprehensive health planning is underscored to mitigate their adverse health impacts. Furthermore, transitioning from fossil fuels to green energy sources is crucial to reduce the environmental footprint.

Journal Article Type	Article
Online Publication Date	Dec 19, 2024
Deposit Date	Jan 23, 2025
Publicly Available Date	Jan 23, 2025
Journal	Global Challenges
Print ISSN	2056-6646
Electronic ISSN	2056-6646
Publisher	Wiley
Peer Reviewed	Peer Reviewed
Article Number	2400207
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1002/gch2.202400207
Keywords	renewable energy, carbon footprint, mann‐kendall trend analysis, sustainable urban development goals