SR Parnell
Surveillance to inform control of emerging plant diseases : an epidemiological perspective
Parnell, SR; van den Bosch, F; Gottwald, TR; Gilligan, CA
Authors
F van den Bosch
TR Gottwald
CA Gilligan
Abstract
The rise in emerging pathogens and strains has led to increased calls for more effective surveillance in plant health. We show how epidemiological insights about the dynamics of disease spread can improve the targeting of when and where to sample. We outline some relatively simple but powerful statistical approaches to inform surveillance and describe how they can be adapted to include epidemiological information. This enables us to address questions such as: Following the first report of an invading pathogen, what is the likely incidence of disease? If no cases of disease have been found, how certain can we be that the disease was not simply missed by chance? We illustrate the use of spatially explicit stochastic models to optimize targeting of surveillance and control resources. Finally, we discuss how modern detection and diagnostic technologies as well as information from passive surveillance networks (e.g., citizen science) can be integrated into surveillance strategies.
Citation
Parnell, S., van den Bosch, F., Gottwald, T., & Gilligan, C. (2017). Surveillance to inform control of emerging plant diseases : an epidemiological perspective. Annual Review of Phytopathology, 55, 591-610. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-phyto-080516-035334
Journal Article Type | Article |
---|---|
Online Publication Date | Jun 21, 2017 |
Publication Date | Jun 21, 2017 |
Deposit Date | Jul 25, 2017 |
Journal | Annual Review of Phytopathology |
Print ISSN | 0066-4286 |
Electronic ISSN | 1545-2107 |
Publisher | Annual Reviews |
Volume | 55 |
Pages | 591-610 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-phyto-080516-035334 |
Publisher URL | http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-phyto-080516-035334 |
Related Public URLs | http://www.annualreviews.org/journal/phyto |
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