Modelling regional lottery sales : methodological issues
and a case study from Spain

Baker, RD; Forrest, DK; Perez, L

Abstract

Sales are modelled for 50 Spanish provinces over 522 draws of a high prize lotto
game.Acrossed random effects model allows for random shocks specific to particular draws and
to particular provinces. The paper explores how demographic and socio-economic factors
influence sales volumes, with particular focus on the relationship between sales and real per
capita income at different jackpot sizes. When jackpots are low, sales are shown to rise with the
level of provincial incomes. But this relationship disappears or is reversed when rollovers raise
the jackpot because sales in poorer provinces are markedly more responsive to jackpot size

Citation

and a case study from Spain. Papers in Regional Science, 95(S1), S127-S142. https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12118

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: Feb 26, 2014
• Online Publication Date: Apr 15, 2014
• Publication Date: Mar 29, 2016
• Deposit Date: Feb 4, 2015
• Journal: Papers in Regional Science
• Print ISSN: 1056-8190
• Electronic ISSN: 1435-5957
• Publisher: Springer Verlag
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 95
• Issue: S1
• Pages: S127-S142
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12118
• Publisher URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12118
• Related Public URLs: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1435-5957/
• Additional Information: Funders : Sociedad Estatal Loterías y Apuestas del Estado.