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Climate change and geopolitical conflicts: The role of ESG readiness.

Alam, Ashraful; Banna, Hasanul; Alam, Ahmed W.; Bhuiyan, Borhan U.; Mokhtar, Nur B.

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Authors

Hasanul Banna

Ahmed W. Alam

Borhan U. Bhuiyan

Nur B. Mokhtar



Abstract

This study examines the relationship between climate change vulnerability and geopolitical risk using data on 42 countries from 1995 to 2021. Utilising two distinct indices, the climate vulnerability index (CVI) and the country-specific geopolitical risk (CGPR) indices, we find that countries with high vulnerability to climate change are more likely to experience geopolitical conflicts. Further analysis reveals that country-level overall economic, social, and governance (ESG) readiness significantly mitigates this detrimental effect. This moderation is mainly attributed to the social and governance readiness measures. Additional tests indicate that the mitigating role of ESG is more pronounced for countries with high institutional governance. These results remain resilient through a set of endogeneity tests using matched samples of countries generated through propensity score matching (PSM) estimation. Our findings suggest that addressing climate vulnerability is crucial to promoting global peace and geopolitical stability. [Abstract copyright: Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.]

Citation

Alam, A., Banna, H., Alam, A. W., Bhuiyan, B. U., & Mokhtar, N. B. (2024). Climate change and geopolitical conflicts: The role of ESG readiness. Journal of Environmental Management, 353, 120284. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120284

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Feb 2, 2024
Online Publication Date Feb 9, 2024
Publication Date Feb 27, 2024
Deposit Date Feb 9, 2024
Publicly Available Date Feb 15, 2024
Journal Journal of environmental management
Print ISSN 0301-4797
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 353
Pages 120284
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120284
Keywords Geopolitical risk, Climate vulnerability, ESG readiness, Climate Change, Social Conditions, Institutional quality, Climate change

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