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A sensitivity analysis framework for the treatment effect measure used in the meta-analysis of comparative binary data from randomised controlled trials (2013)
Journal Article
data from randomised controlled trials. Statistics in Medicine, 32(6), 931-940. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.5591

The process of undertaking a meta-analysis involves a sequence of decisions, one of which is deciding which measure of treatment effect to use. In particular, for comparative binary data from randomised controlled trials, a wide variety of measures... Read More about A sensitivity analysis framework for the treatment effect measure used in the meta-analysis of comparative binary data from randomised controlled trials.

Forecasting exact scores in National Football League games (2012)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2013). Forecasting exact scores in National Football League games. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(1), 122-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.07.002

The paper presents a point process model for predicting exact end-of-match scores in the premier league of American football, the National Football League. The hazards of scoring are allowed to vary with team statistics from previous games and/or the... Read More about Forecasting exact scores in National Football League games.

How good is Tiger Woods? (2012)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2012). How good is Tiger Woods?. Mathematics today, 48(3), 124-126

A major objective of professional sport is to find out which player or team is the best. Unfortunately the structure of some sports means that this is often a difficult question to answer. For example, there may be too many competitors to run a rou... Read More about How good is Tiger Woods?.

Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging (LDI). Part 1: Derivation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation (2012)
Journal Article
Pape, S., Baker, R., Wilson, D., Hoeksema, H., Jeng, J., Spence, R., & Monstrey, S. (2012). Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging (LDI). Part 1: Derivation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation. Burns, 38(2), 187-194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.burns.2010.11.009

Laser Doppler imaging produces a colour-coded image of dermal blood flow, which can be used to quantify the inflammatory response in a burn. The original colour palette had arbitrary boundaries, which inexperienced clinicians found difficult to inter... Read More about Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging (LDI). Part 1: Derivation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation.

Investigating the behavioural characteristics of lottery players using a combination preference model for conscious selection (2011)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & Mchale, I. (2011). Investigating the behavioural characteristics of lottery players using a combination preference model for conscious selection. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 174(4), 1071-1086. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2011.00693.x

Conscious selection describes the process by which lottery players choose numbers non-randomly on their tickets. The only theoretical model that has been produced to date models conscious selection as number preference; for example players may tend t... Read More about Investigating the behavioural characteristics of lottery players using a combination preference model for conscious selection.

Ministry of Education of Oman : examinations marks and their relationships with educational indicators (2011)
Thesis
AL-Hosni, M. Ministry of Education of Oman : examinations marks and their relationships with educational indicators. (Thesis). University of Salford

This study aims to provide a comprehensive view of the national educational system, and then to determine the values of some internationally-used indicators within Oman's schools, and their effects upon student performance in the 12 th grade examinat... Read More about Ministry of Education of Oman : examinations marks and their relationships with educational indicators.

Economic downturns and the determination of portfolio asset allocation (2011)
Thesis
Syed Salim, S. M. N. B. Economic downturns and the determination of portfolio asset allocation. (Thesis). Salford : University of Salford

A most common question in finance, particularly in investment perspective, is how an investor should allocate his wealth. Robert C. Merton (1975) remarks that the quest for an answer to the problem of lifetime consumption a... Read More about Economic downturns and the determination of portfolio asset allocation.

Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging. Part 2: Validation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation (2011)
Journal Article
Monstrey, S., Hoeksema, H., Baker, R., Jeng, J., Spence, R., Wilson, D., & Pape, S. (2011). Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging. Part 2: Validation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation. Burns, 37(2), 249-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.burns.2010.08.013

Laser Doppler imaging (LDI) has been investigated and used since 1993 for the assessment of burn wounds. Here we describe tests that validate use of the dedicated colour palette, derived in Part 1, for a standardised interpretation of LDI images for... Read More about Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging. Part 2: Validation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation.

Risk aversion in maintenance: a utility-based approach (2010)
Journal Article
Baker, R. (2010). Risk aversion in maintenance: a utility-based approach. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 21(4), 319-332. https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpn013

In the author's concept of risk-averse maintenance, introduced in a previous paper, we seek to minimize the disutility of cost per unit time rather than to minimize cost per unit time itself. This gives a maintenance policy that is optimal under risk... Read More about Risk aversion in maintenance: a utility-based approach.

How does the DerSimonian and Laird procedure for random effects meta-analysis compare with its more efficient but harder to compute counterparts? (2010)
Journal Article
random effects meta-analysis compare with its more efficient but harder to compute counterparts?. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 140(4), 961-970. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2009.09.017

The procedure suggested by DerSimonian and Laird is the simplest and most commonly used method for fitting the random effects model for meta-analysis. Here it is shown that, unless all studies are of similar size, this is inefficient when estimating... Read More about How does the DerSimonian and Laird procedure for random effects meta-analysis compare with its more efficient but harder to compute counterparts?.

Evaluating the effects of game design on lotto sales: a case study from Spain (2010)
Journal Article
Forrest, D., Perez, L., & Baker, R. (2010). Evaluating the effects of game design on lotto sales: a case study from Spain. ˜The œjournal of gambling business and economics (Print), 4(2), 1-19

In February, 2005 the Spanish National Lottery Agency (LAE) made several modifications to the design of one of its lotto games. The entry fee was not changed but the familiar 6/49 format was replaced by 5/54 + 1/10. This considerably lengthened the o... Read More about Evaluating the effects of game design on lotto sales: a case study from Spain.

Inference for meta-analysis with a suspected temporal trend (2010)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & Jackson, D. (2010). Inference for meta-analysis with a suspected temporal trend. Biometrical Journal, 52(4), 538-551. https://doi.org/10.1002/bimj.200900307

There is sometimes a clear evidence of a strong secular trend in the treatment effect of studies included in a meta-analysis. In such cases, estimating the present-day treatment effect by meta-regression is both reasonable and straightforward. We how... Read More about Inference for meta-analysis with a suspected temporal trend.

The health impact of an online heart disease support group: A comparison of moderated vs. unmoderated support (2009)
Journal Article
group: A comparison of moderated vs. unmoderated support. Health Education Research, 24(4), 646-654. https://doi.org/10.1093/her/cyp001

The aim of this study was to assess whether our online closed community heart care support group and information resource could sustain changes in health behaviour after the moderators withdrew their support. Heart patients (n 5 108) living in a... Read More about The health impact of an online heart disease support group: A comparison of moderated vs. unmoderated support.

A new approach to outliers in meta-analysis (2008)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & Jackson, D. (2008). A new approach to outliers in meta-analysis. Health Care Management Science, 11(2), 121-131. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10729-007-9041-8

The synthesis of evidence from trials and medical studies using meta-analysis is essential for Evidence Based Medicine. However, problematical outlying results often occur even under the random-effects model. We propose a model that allows a long-tai... Read More about A new approach to outliers in meta-analysis.