Skip to main content

Research Repository

Advanced Search

All Outputs (7)

Time-varying ratings for international football teams (2017)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2017). Time-varying ratings for international football teams. European Journal of Operational Research, 267(2), 659-666. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2017.11.042

We present a model for rating international football teams. Using data from 1944 to 2016, we ask `which was the greatest team?'. To answer the question requires some sophisticated methodology.
Specifically, we have used k-fold cross-validation, whi... Read More about Time-varying ratings for international football teams.

Event count distributions from renewal processes : fast computation of probabilities (2017)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & Kharrat, T. (2017). Event count distributions from renewal processes : fast computation of probabilities. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 29(4), 415-433. https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpx008

Discrete distributions derived from renewal processes, i.e. distributions of the number of events by some time t are beginning to be used in management science, econometrics and health sciences. A new fast method is presented for computation of the p... Read More about Event count distributions from renewal processes : fast computation of probabilities.

Meta-analysis of tumour burden in pre-operative axillary ultrasound positive and negative breast cancer patients (2017)
Journal Article
Ahmed, M., Jozsa, F., Baker, R., Rubio, I., Benson, J., & Douek, M. (2017). Meta-analysis of tumour burden in pre-operative axillary ultrasound positive and negative breast cancer patients. Breast Cancer Research and Treatment, 166(2), 329-336. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-017-4405-3

Management of the axilla in breast cancer is becoming increasingly conservative. Patients identified with a low axillary nodal burden (two or fewer involved nodes) at sentinel node biopsy (SNB) can avoid completion axillary node clearance (cANC). 'Fa... Read More about Meta-analysis of tumour burden in pre-operative axillary ultrasound positive and negative breast cancer patients.

Paule-Mandel estimators for network meta-analysis with random inconsistency effects (2017)
Journal Article
Jackson, D., Veroniki, A., Law, M., Tricco, A., & Baker, R. (2017). Paule-Mandel estimators for network meta-analysis with random inconsistency effects. Research Synthesis Methods, 8(4), 416-434. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1244

Network meta-analysis is used to simultaneously compare multiple treatments in a single analysis. However, network meta-analyses may exhibit inconsistency, where direct and different forms of indirect evidence are not in agreement with each other, ev... Read More about Paule-Mandel estimators for network meta-analysis with random inconsistency effects.

Creating new distributions by blunting cusps (2017)
Journal Article
Baker, R. (2017). Creating new distributions by blunting cusps. Statistics and Probability Letters, 124, 55-63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2017.01.003

A simple method is proposed for `blunting' cusped distributions, ie removing the cusp. No additional parameters are required.
The method is applied to the asymmetric Laplace distribution, to the van Dorp and Kotz double-sided power distribution,
an... Read More about Creating new distributions by blunting cusps.