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Göç ve Koronavirüs: Nüfus Hareketliliği Verileri Üzerinden KOVİD-19 Salgınının Analizi

Sirkeci, I; Yucesahin, MM

Authors

I Sirkeci

MM Yucesahin



Abstract

Reactions, measures as well as discourses dealing with the current pandemic vary significantly across the world. While some countries were completely locked down, as was the case in Italy, some had claimed to have very few or no cases, as was the case in Turkey and Indonesia by March 10th, 2020. The COVID-19 outbreak is allegedly started in China and the spread has been linked to those travelling from Wuhan in Hubei province in Central China. Therefore, it is important to understand the travel density/volume of passengers carried as well as routes from Wuhan through connected main regional air travel hubs across China. In this study, we developed a model on migration and travel intensity that can explain outbreak and spread of COVID-19 since it appeared at the end of 2019. We show that the presence of migrant stock populations of Chinese origin and the immigrant stock in China are useful indicators in the prediction of the spread of the outbreak worldwide in the event of interaction with several other macro factors. We argue that monitoring immigrant stock data and travel volume data based on human mobility corridors (i.e. origins and destinations), countries could have been better prepared and taken early measures to contain the spread of COVID-19.

Citation

Sirkeci, I., & Yucesahin, M. (2020). Göç ve Koronavirüs: Nüfus Hareketliliği Verileri Üzerinden KOVİD-19 Salgınının Analizi. Göç dergisi (Print), 7(1), https://doi.org/10.33182/gd.v7i1.679

Journal Article Type Article
Online Publication Date May 12, 2020
Publication Date May 12, 2020
Deposit Date Nov 15, 2022
Journal Goc Dergisi
Print ISSN 2054-7110
Publisher Transnational Press London
Volume 7
Issue 1
DOI https://doi.org/10.33182/gd.v7i1.679
Publisher URL https://doi.org/10.33182/gd.v7i1.679


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