Time varying ratings in association football : the all-time greatest team is...

Baker, RD; McHale, IG

Abstract

We present a new methodology to estimate time varying team strengths of football teams. Our dynamic model allows for deterministic, rather than stochastic, evolution of team
strengths. We use the model to identify the best team in England since the English Football Association was formed and match results were recorded in 1888. Our results suggest that Chelsea in 2006 were stronger than any other team has been but that Manchester United have
experienced the period of most dominance.

Citation

Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2015). Time varying ratings in association football : the all-time greatest team is... Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 178(2), 481-492. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12060

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: Jan 1, 2014
• Online Publication Date: Apr 15, 2014
• Publication Date: Jan 12, 2015
• Deposit Date: Oct 23, 2015
• Journal: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)
• Print ISSN: 0964-1998
• Electronic ISSN: 1467-985X
• Publisher: Wiley
• Volume: 178
• Issue: 2
• Pages: 481-492
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12060
• Publisher URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12060
• Related Public URLs: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1467-985X/