Objective measures of rollator user stability and device loading during different walking scenarios (2019)
Journal Article
Costamagna, E., Thies, S., Kenney, L., Howard, D., Lindemann, U., Klenk, J., & Baker, R. (2019). Objective measures of rollator user stability and device loading during different walking scenarios. PLoS ONE, 14(1), e0210960. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210960

Walking aids are widely used by older adults, however, alarmingly, their use has been linked to increased falls-risk, yet clinicians have no objective way of assessing user stability. This work aims to demonstrate the application of a novel methodolo... Read More about Objective measures of rollator user stability and device loading during different walking scenarios.

Paule-Mandel estimators for network meta-analysis with random inconsistency effects (2017)
Journal Article
Jackson, D., Veroniki, A., Law, M., Tricco, A., & Baker, R. (2017). Paule-Mandel estimators for network meta-analysis with random inconsistency effects. Research Synthesis Methods, 8(4), 416-434. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1244

Network meta-analysis is used to simultaneously compare multiple treatments in a single analysis. However, network meta-analyses may exhibit inconsistency, where direct and different forms of indirect evidence are not in agreement with each other, ev... Read More about Paule-Mandel estimators for network meta-analysis with random inconsistency effects.

Magnetic sentinel lymph node biopsy in a murine tumour model (2015)
Journal Article
Ahmed, M., Woo, T., Ohashi, K., Suzuki, T., Kaneko, A., Hoshino, A., …Sekino, M. (2015). Magnetic sentinel lymph node biopsy in a murine tumour model. Nanomedicine: Nanotechnology, Biology and Medicine, 12(4), 1045-1052. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nano.2015.12.366

The magnetic technique for sentinel node biopsy provides a radioisotope-free alternative for staging breast cancer. It requires refinement to reduce “residual iron content” at injection sites by maximising lymphatic uptake to prevent “void artefacts... Read More about Magnetic sentinel lymph node biopsy in a murine tumour model.

Approximate confidence intervals for moment-based estimators of the between-study variance in random effects meta-analysis (2015)
Journal Article
effects meta-analysis. Research Synthesis Methods, 6(4), 372-382. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1162

Moment-based estimators of the between-study variance are very popular when performing random effects meta-analyses. This type of estimation has many advantages including computational and conceptual simplicity. Furthermore, by using these estimato... Read More about Approximate confidence intervals for moment-based estimators of the between-study variance in random effects meta-analysis.

An empirical Bayes' procedure for ranking players in Ryder Cup golf (2015)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2015). An empirical Bayes' procedure for ranking players in Ryder Cup golf. Journal of Applied Statistics, 43(3), 387-395. https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2015.1043869

We describe a model to obtain strengths and rankings of players appearing in golf's Ryder Cup. Obtaining rankings is complicated because of two reasons. First, competitors do not compete on an equal number of occasions, with some competitors appearin... Read More about An empirical Bayes' procedure for ranking players in Ryder Cup golf.

Analysing deviation-from-target data : Applying the correct force in Sellick’s maneuver (2015)
Journal Article
Baker, R., Taylor, R., Smurthwaite, G., Kitchen, G., & Mehmood, I. (2015). Analysing deviation-from-target data : Applying the correct force in Sellick’s maneuver. Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics, 25(4), 619-634. https://doi.org/10.1080/10543406.2014.920872

The problem of comparing the deviation from a target of two or more treatments or procedures arises now and again in medicine. Practitioners usually carry out a t-test on a loss function such as absolute error. We have adapted and developed statist... Read More about Analysing deviation-from-target data : Applying the correct force in Sellick’s maneuver.

A new fast LDI for assessment of burns: a multi-centre clinical evaluation (2014)
Journal Article
Hoeksema, H., Baker, R., Holland, A., Travis, P., Steven, L., Jeffery, J., & Monstrey, S. (2014). A new fast LDI for assessment of burns: a multi-centre clinical evaluation. Burns, 40(7), 1274-1282. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.burns.2014.04.024

INTRODUCTION: Laser Doppler imaging (LDI) provides early accurate determination of wound healing potential. LDI can scan large areas of up to 2500 cm2 within 2 min. This duration may require additional sedation in a mobile, uncooperative child. In... Read More about A new fast LDI for assessment of burns: a multi-centre clinical evaluation.

Patient attitudes to intensive care and life-sustaining technology (2014)
Journal Article
Tully, R., Kitchen, G., Tufchi, A., Saha, B., & Baker, R. (2014). Patient attitudes to intensive care and life-sustaining technology. Journal of the Intensive Care Society, 15(4), 331-335. https://doi.org/10.1177/175114371401500413

We used a validated questionnaire to explore the views of patients regarding receiving intensive care and life-sustaining technology. Data was obtained from 38 patients. A score was obtained for ‘general attitude towards use of lifesustaining/prolong... Read More about Patient attitudes to intensive care and life-sustaining technology.

Deterministic evolution of strength in multiple comparisons models : Who is the greatest golfer? (2014)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2015). Deterministic evolution of strength in multiple comparisons models : Who is the greatest golfer?. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 42(1), 180-196. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12101

We present a statistical methodology for fitting time varying rankings, by estimating the strength parameters of the Plackett–Luce multiple comparisons model at regularly spaced times for each ranked item. We use the little-known method of barycentr... Read More about Deterministic evolution of strength in multiple comparisons models : Who is the greatest golfer?.

Modelling regional lottery sales : methodological issues and a case study from Spain (2014)
Journal Article
and a case study from Spain. Papers in Regional Science, 95(S1), S127-S142. https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12118

Sales are modelled for 50 Spanish provinces over 522 draws of a high prize lotto game.Acrossed random effects model allows for random shocks specific to particular draws and to particular provinces. The paper explores how demographic and socio-econ... Read More about Modelling regional lottery sales : methodological issues and a case study from Spain.

Time varying ratings in association football : the all-time greatest team is... (2014)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2015). Time varying ratings in association football : the all-time greatest team is... Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 178(2), 481-492. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12060

We present a new methodology to estimate time varying team strengths of football teams. Our dynamic model allows for deterministic, rather than stochastic, evolution of team strengths. We use the model to identify the best team in England since the... Read More about Time varying ratings in association football : the all-time greatest team is....

The influence of bait presentation on bait uptake by mice (Mus domesticus) in infested urban domestic dwellings (2014)
Journal Article
Murphy, G., Baker, R., Felix-Thomas, A., & Fowler, M. (2014). The influence of bait presentation on bait uptake by mice (Mus domesticus) in infested urban domestic dwellings. International Journal of Pest Management, 60(1), 22-32. https://doi.org/10.1080/09670874.2014.885613

Several researchers have established a link between the presence of house mouse (Mus domesticus) infestations and detrimental effects on human health. Controlling mouse infestations therefore requires methods that are quick, safe and effective. A tam... Read More about The influence of bait presentation on bait uptake by mice (Mus domesticus) in infested urban domestic dwellings.

Statistical application of barycentric rational interpolants : an alternative to splines (2014)
Journal Article
interpolants : an alternative to splines. Computational Statistics, 29(5), 1065-1081. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00180-014-0480-7

Spline curves, originally developed by numerical analysts for interpolation, are widely used in statistical work, mainly as regression splines and smoothing splines. Barycentric rational interpolants have recently been developed by numerical analy... Read More about Statistical application of barycentric rational interpolants : an alternative to splines.

Endoscopic balloon dilatation of Crohnʼs Disease strictures (2014)
Journal Article
Bhalme, M., Sarkar, S., Lal, S., Bodger, K., Baker, R., & Willert, R. (2014). Endoscopic balloon dilatation of Crohnʼs Disease strictures. Inflammatory Bowel Diseases, 20(2), 265-270. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.MIB.0000439067.76964.53

Introduction: Stricturing is a common complication of Crohn's disease. Endoscopic balloon dilatation (EBD) offers a valuable alternative to surgical intervention, but there are limited data on factors influencing its safety and efficacy. Methods:... Read More about Endoscopic balloon dilatation of Crohnʼs Disease strictures.

A dynamic paired comparisons model : who is the greatest tennis player? (2014)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2014). A dynamic paired comparisons model : who is the greatest tennis player?. European Journal of Operational Research, 236(2), 677-684. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2013.12.028

We present a methodology for fitting time-varying paired comparisons models in which the parameters are allowed to vary deterministically, as opposed to stochastically, with time. Our dynamic paired comparisons model is based on a new closed-form for... Read More about A dynamic paired comparisons model : who is the greatest tennis player?.

Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty : improving the Kelly criterion (2013)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2013). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty : improving the Kelly criterion. Decision Analysis, 10(3), 189-199. https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2013.0271

The Kelly betting criterion ignores uncertainty in the probability of winning the bet and uses an estimated probability. In general, such replacement of population parameters by sample estimates gives poorer out-of-sample than in-sample performance.... Read More about Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty : improving the Kelly criterion.

Meta-analysis inside and outside particle physics: convergence using the path of least resistance? (2013)
Journal Article
particle physics: convergence using the path of least resistance?. Research Synthesis Methods, 4(2), 125-126. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1079

In this note, we explain how the method proposed by Hartung and Knapp provides a compromise between conventional meta-analysis methodology and ‘unconstrained averaging’, as used by the Particle Data Group

Forecasting exact scores in National Football League games (2012)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2013). Forecasting exact scores in National Football League games. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(1), 122-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.07.002

The paper presents a point process model for predicting exact end-of-match scores in the premier league of American football, the National Football League. The hazards of scoring are allowed to vary with team statistics from previous games and/or the... Read More about Forecasting exact scores in National Football League games.

How good is Tiger Woods? (2012)
Journal Article
Baker, R., & McHale, I. (2012). How good is Tiger Woods?. Mathematics today, 48(3), 124-126

A major objective of professional sport is to find out which player or team is the best. Unfortunately the structure of some sports means that this is often a difficult question to answer. For example, there may be too many competitors to run a rou... Read More about How good is Tiger Woods?.

Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging (LDI). Part 1: Derivation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation (2012)
Journal Article
Pape, S., Baker, R., Wilson, D., Hoeksema, H., Jeng, J., Spence, R., & Monstrey, S. (2012). Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging (LDI). Part 1: Derivation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation. Burns, 38(2), 187-194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.burns.2010.11.009

Laser Doppler imaging produces a colour-coded image of dermal blood flow, which can be used to quantify the inflammatory response in a burn. The original colour palette had arbitrary boundaries, which inexperienced clinicians found difficult to inter... Read More about Burn wound healing time assessed by laser Doppler imaging (LDI). Part 1: Derivation of a dedicated colour code for image interpretation.